A Risk Assessment Model for Evolutionary Software Projects
نویسندگان
چکیده
Current early risk assessment techniques rely on subjective human judgments and unrealistic assumptions such as fixed requirements and work breakdown structures. This is a weak approach because different people could arrive at different conclusions from the same scenario even for projects with a stable and well-defined scope, and such projects are rare. This paper introduces a formal model to assess the risk and the duration of software projects automatically, based on objective indicators that can be measured early in the process. The model has been designed to account for significant characteristics of evolutionary software processes, such as requirement complexity, requirement volatility and organizational efficiency. The formal model based on these three indicators estimates the duration and risk of evolutionary software processes. The approach supports (a) automation of risk assessment and, (b) early estimation methods for evolutionary software processes.
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